Fertility of Female University Graduates in the Context of Structural Change
Content and Objective
The project builds on an expertise by the BiB for the BMFSFJ (published in September 2012; see the link below) that examines the birth trends of female university graduates in Germany between 1973 and 2011 based on Microcensus data. The focus is on a comparison of university graduates and non-university graduates, differentiating between West and East Germany. In addition, it analyses vocational differences in order to analytically separate educationally and vocationally specific factors.
The educationally specific birth rates (cohort fertility rate, CFR) are estimated from a combination of age-specific birth rates and cohort rates. This method was needed due to the lack of information about biological children in the data set; also different patterns in the birth delays can be identified. By estimating the cohort fertility of women in their mid-thirties, the method enables us to make current statistical analyses that can be compared with other estimation models in literature.
One of the main objectives is to analyse change processes and long-term patterns in the fertility of female university graduates and interpret them against the background of theories and public debates in spite of the restricted data.
Bujard, Martin (2012): Talsohle bei Akademikerinnen durchschritten? Kinderzahl und Kinderlosigkeit in Deutschland nach Bildungs- und Berufsgruppen. BiB Working Paper 4/2012. Wiesbaden: Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung